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in five, ten, fifteen and twenty years, and on the results o.
this study the sizes and locations of the Exchanges and also
the general lay-out of the cable distribution system are i
In the most favourable conditions the forecasting
arranged.
of the probable developments is a very difficult matter. In
this Colony the position both as regards Victoria and Kowloon
is so uncertain that it is quite impossible to gauge it with
any degree of accuracy. To illustrate this I may mention that at the Victoria Central Exchange the average annual increase of
new Subscribers connected to the Exchange during the years1921- 1924 was 330. During the present year only 40 have been added. At the Kowloon Exchange the average annual increase over the same period was 165 while duringthe present year the net increase, allowing for 155 lines given up, is only 60. That these extraordinary conditions are but a pessing phase
can hardly be doubted.
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(25). Apert from these conditions there are other factors which may influence the development both in Victoria and Kowloon. In both places large reclamation works are in prog ress and in Victoria there is, I understand, a prospect of the property now occupied by the Military Authorities being handed over to the local Government and opened up for industrial and
The possibilities of telephonic develop; residentiel purposes.
at the moment at -ment in connection with these schemes are, any rate, most problematical, and must be left to the future. (26). With a return to normal commercial conditions it may be assumed that the development will again proceed at a rate com- parable with the average of the years above referred to but that with the establishment of a new and more efficient ser- vice this rate of development will tend to increase. On these assumptions I make the following proposels.
(27). Victoria. An exchange for 7,000 lines capable of ex- tention to 10,000 lines should be installed in the new exchange.
No comments yet.
Private notes are available after approval.